Volume 11, Issue 16
How did we get to this point as a society?
The world today is approaching a conversion point of historical periodicities that, if not handled properly, can lead to disruptions in the normal routines of society. There are three such basic cycles embedded in societal development. They are cultural identity, economic security, and government management. The three interact with each other separately but concurrently.
As a people, humans are tribal in nature. The earliest forms of societal structure revolved around chieftains leading migratory ethnicities. Governance grew out of the need to manage different tasks for the collective good. The ruling chief’s desire to pass down leadership control as a hereditary right, along with tribal members’ desire to support a bloodline, evolved into kings and nationalities. The Old Testament biblical structure of society was established on the concept of the Twelve Tribes of Israel, coordinated by a central theocratic government.
Government expanded to include the authority over economic security. The distribution of food, goods, and services became a process wherein tribal members yielded to the authority of those in power. At times, the government found itself in conflict with the people's desires wherein leaders prioritized staying in power over the needs of the people to feel economically secure.
Economic security is a key component of not only happiness, but the pursuit of happiness. Freedom to choose one’s own vocation and level of economic prosperity is a basic inalienable right. One thing that infringes upon the foundation of a sound economic system is a government spending more than it collects in revenue. Continued deficit spending accumulates debt. Too much debt in itself becomes a burden to service. Continuing to deficit spend when debt exceeds 100% of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) is both inflationary and stressful on current budget obligations. This causes the ebb and flow of economic progress, recession, and threatens the people's economic confidence.
Nature is a construct of its own natural cycles. Long-term droughts, natural disasters including earthquakes, volcanoes, hurricanes, tornadoes, and pandemics interrupt and, at times, exacerbate societal cycles of human nature. Migration in the past has been caused by weather resulting in different cultures being in conflict.
An intermittent agent of change that has been argued as cyclical is technological innovation. Anthropologists divide history into ages like stone and iron. The Industrial Age in modern history changed the alignment of power between nation-states.
Convergence of these cycles often brings public sentiment to a boiling point. The American Revolution in 1776, the American Civil War, the Roaring Twenties, and the Great Depression, were the consequences of the process for resets based on the forces of cycles.
World War I was the after-effect of kingdoms having run their course as government managers. World War II was the outcome of a people (Germans) being oppressed as economic serfs to the conquerors of World War I. Government management, combined with German culture, was not able to address the crises. The default tragedy was the rise of Adolph Hitler. When a reset is in order, it cannot be stopped. An element of the tribunal of effects will address the vacuum. When cycles collide without resolution the point of combustion is breached. A people will only tolerate oppression for so long. Ask the French King Louis XVI in 1789.
The last great reset was in 1946 following World War II. At a conference in Bretton Woods, New Hampshire, the allied forces agreed to set the dollar as the world’s currency. The United States Navy was to enforce the seaways. Global trade was to be advanced pursuant to a common treaty of free enterprise. Nation-states agreed to join the General Agreement on Trade (GATT). This predecessor organization was designed to become the current World Trade Organization (WTO). Trade disputes were to be resolved in international court housed at Den Haag, Holland. Today sovereign states are moving away from ordered world commerce. Globalization has run its course. Instead, new walls of economic mutually exclusive trade are being built.
The world now finds itself on the precipice of a great reset, possibly more broad than at any time in history. The decisions that are made by nation-states will determine the turbulence experienced in the implementation of the reset.
During the fall of the Soviet Union in 1991, hardliners intent on staying in world power advised President Mikhail Gorbachev to strike the United States with nuclear weapons. The loss of life was estimated to be between 100 and 200 million people. Their analysis was that the USSR had more strategic facilities hardened underground than the United States. The Soviet Union would then emerge from nuclear winter as the superior power.
Hardliners in deciding how to manage government for the good of the people seldom think of the people and their happiness first versus their desire to maintain power. Winston Churchill is rightly praised for his leadership and the actions he took during World War II to save western civilization. It could be argued that Mikhail Gorbachev also played his part in saving western civilization by what actions he did not take.
Ongoing deficit spending by sovereign governments of the world and accumulating unprecedented amounts of debt are jeopardizing the stability of the world’s economy. The intervening natural event of the COVID pandemic has collapsed the time frame for change. This is accelerating the pressure for a reset brought forward by government management, cultural identity, and the need for economic security. Deficit spending without discipline or measure is running its course. The reset will require that currencies be recalibrated in reference to actual value.
China’s determination to dominate the world goes against their historical attitudes. China culturally has looked inward. Centuries ago, they built a Great Wall to keep unsavory aliens out. Russia on the other hand historically attacked its neighbors to solve problems of economic security or national identity. Invading Ukraine is in line with past government management decisions. Global diplomacy is running its course.
World government policy decisions, coupled with movements primarily concerned about the purity of cultural identity, are bringing societal emotions to the boiling point. Leaders who believe that government control is the primary answer for societal stability are driven to stay in power by any means necessary. Activists who believe that the maintenance of tribal cultural identity is the primary answer for societal stability are driven to support candidates who reflect their philosophy by any means necessary.
Abandoned and ignored in the national political debate is what is required to sustain personal economic security. One party prioritizes the power of government. One party prioritizes cultural identity. Neither party prioritizes economic security. The 49% of Americans who now claim to be Independents state that their number one issue is the opportunity to achieve economic prosperity. These Independents are less likely to be involved as activists in party support of a candidate. Therefore, the playing field is left to Republicans and Democrats.
In the next eighteen months, world geopolitical and economic events will impact the protocol of the unavoidable impending reset. Government decisions are now directly interactive with forces of cultural identity and economic security. If the societal point of combustion is breached, it will fall upon the grassroots of America to hold to the commitment that individual liberty is the objective for society in the midst of the cycle matrix.
Only America, through faith in inalienable rights, can lead the world successfully in bending the arc of reset toward the destiny of mankind’s ordained freedom...
The fate of the world is at stake.
My name is Marc Nuttle and this is what I believe.
What do you believe?